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Tuesday, February 5, 2008

Overhead Bins: Prepare to be Very Full

This move has been a long time coming, so it shouldn't come as any surprise to FMV readers that approximately every media outlet in the nation is reporting that United Airlines will begin charging $25 to check a second bag on May 5.

The Chicago Tribune reports that UA expects a $100 million annual benefit from the move (combined cost savings and revenue boost). We would kill to know exactly how McKinsie computed that benefit. Consider that UA lifts about 25 million tickets per year. That would mean at least 16% of passengers would have to pay the fee, assuming no cost savings. However, it's actually got to be much higher than that, considering elites, premium cabins, gov't/military pax, international itineraries, etc. are exempt. Are there really that many hayseeds dragging two bags to the counter? We say no; hence, we conclude there has to be a big cost savings benefit anticipated.

There is also a gaping loophole in the policy, for those that enjoy gamesmanship. There is no charge to gate-check a second bag! Hence, you can go to the counter and check one bag then check the second at the gate. Certainly a nice strategy, and one that also diversifies your lost baggage risk portfolio.

We think the UA spokesperson says it best, "We will keep [the baggage fee] as long as customers want low fares". Oh, SNAP! Take a suck at that, Mr. Consumer. You brought this on yourself, with your demand for low fares without recognition for premium services.

That quote is airline-speak for "don't hate the player, hate the game".

In related news, United traffic fell 5.3% in January on a 3.4% decrease in capacity.

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